Hourly prices of the Polymarket contract "Will Donald Trump win the
2024 US presidential election?" (the "Yes" outcome token), June to
November 2024, downloaded from the public CLOB API with pm_prices().
The price of the claim is the traded event probability. This dataset
powers the intraday examples; rebuild it any time with the script in
data-raw/.
Format
A tibble with hourly rows and 2 columns:
- time
Timestamp (
POSIXct, UTC).- q
Traded probability of the "Yes" outcome.
Source
Polymarket public CLOB API,
https://clob.polymarket.com/prices-history, event
presidential-election-winner-2024.
Examples
data(polymarket2024)
ep <- as_event_prices(polymarket2024,
market_id = "Polymarket: Trump wins 2024",
event_date = as.POSIXct("2024-11-05", tz = "UTC")
)
plot_clock(event_clock_path(ep))
