Large language models are used to score populist rhetoric and four dimensions of liberalism across party manifestos, showing that right-wing populist anti-liberalism is largely …
Replication and extension of Stöckl & Rode (2021) examining how populist electoral success affects option-implied risk assessments. Forthcoming in the Edward Elgar Handbook on …
Using market prices to measure how political events and populist electoral shifts are priced into equities, volatility, and cross-country asset returns.
We examine the effect of populism on financial markets around national elections. We find that the electoral success of populist parties has a direct impact on volatility in major …
We use data from betting markets to analyze the sensitivity of stock returns to potential outcomes of political events such as elections. By classifying stocks into expected …