Political Finance
Using market prices to measure how political events and populist electoral shifts are priced into equities, volatility, and cross-country asset returns.
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2 min read
The Price of Populism - Financial Market Outcomes of Populist Electoral Success
We examine the effect of populism on financial markets around national elections. We find that the electoral success of populist parties has a direct impact on volatility in major …
Sebastian Stöckl
Political Event Portfolios
We use data from betting markets to analyze the sensitivity of stock returns to potential outcomes of political events such as elections. By classifying stocks into expected …
michael-hanke