Recovering Election Winner Probabilities from Stock Prices
We show how the stock market's assessment of post-election winning probabilities can be backed out from stock prices, using the sensitivity of stocks to changes in winning …
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We show how the stock market's assessment of post-election winning probabilities can be backed out from stock prices, using the sensitivity of stocks to changes in winning …
We use our election portfolios to analyze various Trump and Biden Stocks, as well as Industries and Investment Funds with regard to their properties.