Election Portfolios

Recovering Election Winner Probabilities from Stock Prices

We show how the stock market's assessment of post-election winning probabilities can be backed out from stock prices, using the sensitivity of stocks to changes in winning …

michael-hanke
Election Portfolios - The Case of the 2020 US Presidential Election featured image

Election Portfolios - The Case of the 2020 US Presidential Election

We use our election portfolios to analyze various Trump and Biden Stocks, as well as Industries and Investment Funds with regard to their properties.

Sebastian Stöckl