Historic teaching & evaluations
Links to Code & Data
Recovering Election Winner Probabilities from Stock Prices
Based on the sensitivity of stocks to changes in winning probabilities observed before the election, we show how the stock market’s assessment of the unobserved post-election winning probabilities can be backed out from stock prices.
FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS
Election Portfolios - The Case of the 2020 US Presidential Election
We use our election portfolios to analyze various Trump and Biden Stocks, as well as Industries and Investment Funds with regard to their properties.
Last updated on 2022-03-23
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Political Event Portfolios
Research data, plots and information regarding the 2020 US presidential election.